Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 17.134815 19.961588 23.035588 26.617300 30.666045 35.090787 40.281995
2025-02-23 12.171892 15.994627 20.579187 26.435417 33.665387 42.243969 53.132266
2025-03-02 9.257312 13.418565 18.816118 26.223054 36.000041 48.328424 64.892425
2025-03-09 7.315956 11.547477 17.417087 25.969695 37.894872 53.685440 75.876648
2025-03-16 5.539353 9.493356 15.340288 24.351040 37.562818 55.846007 82.588481
2025-03-23 4.811703 8.830194 15.092876 25.190879 40.599809 62.672842 95.972952
2025-03-30 4.291144 8.383657 15.072219 26.300889 44.047813 70.245338 110.835088
2025-04-06 3.548216 7.415421 14.063885 25.707976 44.793749 73.848572 120.100058
2025-04-13 2.839582 6.365572 12.751394 24.425903 44.271151 75.416428 126.328192
2025-04-20 2.625765 6.209517 12.959928 25.701650 47.949378 83.649049 143.136000
2025-04-27 2.481698 6.164344 13.353659 27.320240 52.297247 93.172765 162.444724
2025-05-04 2.223726 5.832063 13.158055 27.841720 54.785439 99.815009 177.506585
2025-05-11 1.917534 5.360158 12.675370 27.872535 56.585566 105.720810 192.213775
2025-05-18 1.619656 4.847930 12.046918 27.574213 57.811952 110.827461 206.077474
2025-05-25 1.374112 4.403267 11.487246 27.334039 59.105044 116.112802 220.536617
2025-06-01 1.166229 4.001781 10.953030 27.067839 60.299197 121.266791 235.024169
2025-06-08 0.908781 3.389504 9.825314 25.389789 58.563444 121.016007 240.051317
2025-06-15 0.829312 3.274483 9.865226 26.260040 61.972681 130.350078 262.495296
2025-06-22 0.771377 3.211380 10.023584 27.410154 66.036195 141.122815 288.043095
2025-06-29 0.644514 2.886109 9.451051 26.795835 66.354801 144.817888 300.874066
2025-07-06 0.512432 2.495522 8.627347 25.467235 65.009457 145.193931 307.547824
2025-07-13 0.486736 2.488170 8.871449 26.789279 69.554141 157.347416 336.873494
2025-07-20 0.472638 2.522579 9.241606 28.466132 75.005253 171.571121 370.729451